Options Trader — Live Dashboard
paper trading account · snapshot at market close · 2026-07-02
Go-live criteria (real trades only)
- ○ 30+ closed real trades 6/30
- ○ Profit factor ≥ 1.5 tracking
- ○ Positive expectancy $-423 net
- ○ Max drawdown ≤ 15% tracking
- ○ 60+ days tracking tracking
Real — open positions
| NVDA PUT 200 2026-07-17 | Claude Idea | entry 7.15 | −30% floor 5.00 |
Real — closed ledger (stop-aware)
| Contract | Source | Entry→Exit | Return | P/L | Date |
|---|
| META PUT 540 | Claude Idea | 7.9→1.46 | -82% STOP −30% | $-644 | 2026-06-15 |
| META PUT 595 | Claude Idea | 6.5→9.1 | +40% | $+260 | 2026-06-17 |
| SLV PUT 60 | Claude Idea | 2.9→4.95 | +71% | $+410 | 2026-06-23 |
| HOOD PUT 97 | Claude Idea | 6.8→4.15 | -39% STOP −30% | $-265 | 2026-06-29 |
| SLV PUT 54 | Claude Idea | 3.0→1.87 | -38% STOP −30% | $-339 | 2026-06-30 |
| AAPL CALL 300 | Discord | 3.35→4.125 | +23% | $+155 | 2026-07-01 |
3 of 6 real closed trades hit the −30% stop.
Shadow book
4 named shadows open · full slate (all picks, stop-aware, ★ missed) → open the Shadow Watchlist Live artifact.
What we've validated (study at a glance)
Rules confirmed by the 6/25 data work:
- −30% stop = keep it. On a representative all-weeks sample, holding (no stop) was the WORST policy (36–45% of trades bust to ~0); the stop improves return AND ~thirds drawdown.
- Moneyness is lane-dependent. Pricey single-contract names → ITM (survives the dip); cheap stackable names (SOFI/SLV/SMCI/HOOD) → OTM/ATM (bank the spike). Weeklies → ITM, moneyness ~a wash.
- Alignment is the edge. Aligned (call+uptrend / put+downtrend) median peak far exceeds counter-trend; counter-trend is −EV — stays note-only.